Thursday saw a strong close, after it's gap up open, closing at its highs. Friday's action saw higher prices on selling with a close just at the 20 WMA and 100 DMA. This area once again served as resistance with prices closing in the area for the 2nd consecutive week.
Downside support:
* 1st area is at the rising window (gap), the MR1, and the 10 DMA: 17.51-17.54
* 2nd area is at the recent swing low (doji candle) and the 20 & 50 DMA: 17.35-17.43
If we take both of these levels out, then the recent bullish action turns neutral to bearish.
Upside resistance:
* 1st area continues to be the current resistance, which is the 20 WMA and 100 DMA
* 2nd area is the 361 fib projection from the dominant ABCD pattern: 17.96
* 3rd area is the MR2: 18.14
* 4th area is around the sym tri objective and the 461 fib projection: 18.27-18.30
We'd like to see some of these areas taken out in the next 2 weeks to keep the recent bounce intact. The big picture pattern based off the weekly chart implies a potential bounce to 20.50 and possibly higher. We have some major upside resistance to deal with, but it's very possible we're on our way to higher prices.
Sunday, September 22, 2013
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