A similar pattern has been emerging in the mini DJIA as the mini S&P, but with a long signal activated tonight. Therefore, I will move my analysis over to this market. Similar setup with a weak downtrending market into a support zone. You have the dominant structure a double top, followed by a secondary structure with a deep retracement, followed by two more supporting structures with medium deep and supershallow retracements. The time frames have been getting smaller as well indicating a possible loss of downside momentum. This move touched the 361/361 fib combination of the dominant and secondary structures, which is a possible buy zone if confirmed with other indicators. In this zone we also had a monthly S2, and oversold RSI, and some old support levels. Finally, we had a bullish engulfing candle pattern for on Friday. I went long a tick above the high of this candle @ 12574. This triggered two different buy setups. First, I'm long 2 on the bullish engulfing pattern with stops @ 12433 (low of candle). Second, I'm long 2 more on a superstructure trade. Stop 1 is @ 12300 and stop 2 @ 12200. I'm looking for a bounce to at least 13025. Obstacles to this trade are it could move lower and test better support around the 78.60 retracement level @ 12274, which is another support zone at the 461/361 fib combo. MACD stills shows bearish momentum. We need to see a bullish crossover to feel better about the long position. However, this is a lagging indicator and usually comes a few days after the bottom. Finally, we have a potential strong resistance cluster ~ 12750, which includes the monthly S1.
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